HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
Cavalry FC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Cavalry FC to win @ 1.75 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCavalry FC to win ✗65% · @1.75
Double chanceCavalry FC or draw ✓88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.21
HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC preview and prediction
The match
The Canadian Premier League sees HFX Wanderers FC take on Cavalry FC on Monday 12 October, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Wanderers Grounds. HFX Wanderers FC are 7th with 28 points from 28 games (in the bottom three), while Cavalry FC sit 1st on 60 points (top of the table). A gap of 32 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
HFX Wanderers FC's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Forge 3–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Cavalry FC's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to York United 1–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Cavalry FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 September 2026, finished HFX Wanderers FC 1–3 Cavalry FC. Across their last 3 meetings HFX Wanderers FC have won 0, Cavalry FC 2, with 1 draw and 2.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for HFX Wanderers FC and 2.1 for Cavalry FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: HFX Wanderers FC 12%, draw 23%, Cavalry FC 65%.
Safer route: Cavalry FC or draw (88%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Cavalry FC to win at 1.75 – 65% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cavalry FC or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: HFX Wanderers FC 0–2 Cavalry FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HFX Wanderers FC12%fair 8.36 · @3.80
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.40
Cavalry FC65%fair 1.54 · @1.75
3.00Expected goals
0.86HFX Wanderers FC xG
2.14Cavalry FC xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: HFX Wanderers FC 0.9 – 2.1 Cavalry FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC?
Our pick is Cavalry FC or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC?
On our numbers HFX Wanderers FC have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cavalry FC 65%.
How many goals will there be in HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC?
Our predicted score is HFX Wanderers FC 0–2 Cavalry FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC?
HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Wanderers Grounds.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
