The Canadian Premier League sees Forge take on York United on Monday 12 October, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Tim Hortons Field. Forge are 2nd with 58 points from 28 games (in the top four), while York United sit 6th on 30 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Forge's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Pacific FC 3–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
York United's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Supra du Quebec 1–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Forge arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 September 2026, finished Forge 1–1 York United. Across their last 3 meetings Forge have won 2, York United 0, with 1 draw and 3.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 3 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Forge and 0.8 for York United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Forge 71%, draw 18%, York United 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Forge to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Forge 2–0 York United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Forge71%fair 1.41 · @1.36
Draw18%fair 5.47 · @4.40
York United11%fair 9.25 · @6.50
3.14Expected goals
2.33Forge xG
0.81York United xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Forge 2.3 – 0.8 York United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Forge to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Forge vs York United?
On our numbers Forge have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and York United 11%.
How many goals will there be in Forge vs York United?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Forge vs York United?
Our predicted score is Forge 2–0 York United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Forge vs York United?
Forge vs York United (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Tim Hortons Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
