Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: York United to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultYork United to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceYork United or draw ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
York United vs Pacific FC preview and prediction
The match
Pacific FC travel to York Lions Stadium in the Canadian Premier League on Sunday 27 September (19:00 WAT) to face York United. York United are 6th with 30 points from 28 games (in the bottom three), while Pacific FC sit 8th on 15 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
York United's last 5: DLWDD Most recently they drew with Vancouver FC 3–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Pacific FC's last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with Vancouver FC 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 September 2026, finished York United 3–3 Pacific FC. Across their last 3 meetings York United have won 1, Pacific FC 0, with 2 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.2 for York United and 1.3 for Pacific FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 64%.
Betting angles
Win chances: York United 56%, draw 23%, Pacific FC 21%.
Safer route: York United or draw (79%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.44.
Value angle: York United to win at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was York United or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.27, so there is value in it. Predicted score: York United 2–1 Pacific FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
York United56%fair 1.78 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.40
Pacific FC21%fair 4.76 · @3.00
3.45Expected goals
2.16York United xG
1.29Pacific FC xG
64%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: York United 2.2 – 1.3 Pacific FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for York United vs Pacific FC?
Our pick is York United or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win York United vs Pacific FC?
On our numbers York United have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pacific FC 21%.
How many goals will there be in York United vs Pacific FC?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for York United vs Pacific FC?
Our predicted score is York United 2–1 Pacific FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is York United vs Pacific FC?
York United vs Pacific FC (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at York Lions Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
