Value bet: Forge to win @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultForge to win ✗64% · @1.67
Double chanceForge or draw ✓89% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.66
Vancouver FC vs Forge preview and prediction
The match
Forge travel to Willoughby Community Park in the Canadian Premier League on Sunday 27 September (00:00 WAT) to face Vancouver FC. Vancouver FC are 5th with 37 points from 28 games (in the bottom half), while Forge sit 2nd on 58 points (in the top four). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Vancouver FC's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with York United 3–3 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Forge's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Cavalry FC 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Forge arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 August 2026, finished Forge 0–1 Vancouver FC. Across their last 3 meetings Vancouver FC have won 1, Forge 2, with 0 draws and 2.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.7 for Vancouver FC and 2.0 for Forge. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vancouver FC 11%, draw 25%, Forge 64%.
Safer route: Forge or draw (89%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Forge to win at 1.67 – 64% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Vancouver FC 0–2 Forge. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vancouver FC11%fair 8.79 · @4.10
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.60
Forge64%fair 1.57 · @1.67
2.71Expected goals
0.75Vancouver FC xG
1.96Forge xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Vancouver FC 0.7 – 2.0 Forge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Vancouver FC vs Forge?
On our numbers Vancouver FC have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Forge 64%.
How many goals will there be in Vancouver FC vs Forge?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vancouver FC vs Forge?
Our predicted score is Vancouver FC 0–2 Forge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Vancouver FC vs Forge?
Vancouver FC vs Forge (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Willoughby Community Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
