Pacific FC host York United in the Canadian Premier League on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT) at Starlight Stadium. Pacific FC are 8th with 15 points from 28 games (in the bottom three), while York United sit 6th on 30 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Pacific FC's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Cavalry FC 1–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 5 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 2.4 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.2 for Pacific FC and 1.8 for York United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pacific FC 26%, draw 21%, York United 53%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Pacific FC 1–1 York United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pacific FC26%fair 3.79 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.45
York United53%fair 1.89 · @1.98
2.99Expected goals
1.19Pacific FC xG
1.80York United xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Pacific FC 1.2 – 1.8 York United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
York United to win✓
53%
1.89
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT York United / FT York United✗
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.31
–
Form
Pacific FC – last 5
LLLLL
10 May
vs Cavalry FC
1–3
L
4 May
vs Vancouver FC
1–3
L
26 Apr
vs Forge
0–1
L
11 Apr
vs Supra du Quebec
2–3
L
5 Apr
vs Cavalry FC
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
York United – last 1
W
2 May
vs Atlético Ottawa
4–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pacific FC and York United.
What is the prediction for Pacific FC vs York United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Pacific FC vs York United?
On our numbers Pacific FC have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 21% and York United 53%.
How many goals will there be in Pacific FC vs York United?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pacific FC vs York United?
Our predicted score is Pacific FC 1–1 York United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Pacific FC vs York United?
Pacific FC vs York United (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Starlight Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
