Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC preview and prediction
The match
Atlético Ottawa host HFX Wanderers FC in the Canadian Premier League on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at TD Place Stadium. Atlético Ottawa are 3rd with 43 points from 28 games (in the top four), while HFX Wanderers FC sit 7th on 28 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atlético Ottawa's last 4: WLLL Most recently they beat Toronto FC 3–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Atlético Ottawa and 1.4 for HFX Wanderers FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlético Ottawa 40%, draw 22%, HFX Wanderers FC 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Atlético Ottawa 1–1 HFX Wanderers FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlético Ottawa40%fair 2.51 · @2.36
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.50
HFX Wanderers FC38%fair 2.65 · @2.62
2.87Expected goals
1.46Atlético Ottawa xG
1.41HFX Wanderers FC xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Atlético Ottawa 1.5 – 1.4 HFX Wanderers FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlético Ottawa to win✓
40%
2.51
2.36
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlético Ottawa / FT Atlético Ottawa✓
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.75
–
Form
Atlético Ottawa – last 4
WLLL
6 May
@ Toronto FC
3–1
W
2 May
@ York United
1–4
L
25 Feb
@ Nashville SC
0–5
L
18 Feb
vs Nashville SC
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
HFX Wanderers FC – last 2
LW
25 Apr
@ Supra du Quebec
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Vancouver FC
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Ottawa and HFX Wanderers FC.
What is the prediction for Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC?
On our numbers Atlético Ottawa have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and HFX Wanderers FC 38%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC?
Our predicted score is Atlético Ottawa 1–1 HFX Wanderers FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC?
Atlético Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers FC (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at TD Place Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
