Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: PKKU to win @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPKKU to win ✓64% · @1.67
Double chancePKKU or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.20
PKKU vs FC jazz preview and prediction
The match
FC jazz travel to Kalevan Urheilupuisto in the Ykkönen on Saturday 11 July (14:00 WAT) to face PKKU. PKKU are 7th with 38 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while FC jazz sit 6th on 40 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
PKKU's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Rops 3–4 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
FC jazz's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to KPV-j 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
PKKU arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for PKKU and 0.9 for FC jazz. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: PKKU 64%, draw 20%, FC jazz 15%.
Safer route: PKKU or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.40.
Value angle: PKKU to win at 1.67 – 64% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was PKKU or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: PKKU 2–0 FC jazz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PKKU64%fair 1.55 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.80
FC jazz15%fair 6.51 · @4.00
3.00Expected goals
2.09PKKU xG
0.91FC jazz xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: PKKU 2.1 – 0.9 FC jazz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PKKU to win✓
64%
1.55
1.67 ▲
Double chance
PKKU or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
PKKU ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PKKU / FT PKKU✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.20
–
Form
PKKU – last 6
LWDWWL
5 Jul
@ Rops
3–4
L
28 Jun
@ KPV-j
3–1
W
14 Jun
vs TPV
2–2
D
6 Jun
@ JJK
3–1
W
29 May
vs KuPS Akatemia
3–0
W
24 May
@ Inter Turku II
1–2
L
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
FC jazz – last 6
LLDDLW
2 Jul
vs KPV-j
0–1
L
25 Jun
vs Tampere United
0–1
L
12 Jun
@ Inter Turku II
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs VJS
1–1
D
28 May
vs SalPa
1–2
L
24 May
@ OLS
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PKKU and FC jazz.
Our pick is PKKU or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win PKKU vs FC jazz?
On our numbers PKKU have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC jazz 15%.
How many goals will there be in PKKU vs FC jazz?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PKKU vs FC jazz?
Our predicted score is PKKU 2–0 FC jazz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is PKKU vs FC jazz?
PKKU vs FC jazz (Ykkönen) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Kalevan Urheilupuisto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
