The Ykkönen sees VJS take on KPV-j on Saturday 23 May, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Myyrmaen jalkapallostadion. VJS are 4th with 46 points from 27 games (in the top four), while KPV-j sit 11th on 19 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
VJS's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat FF Jaro 5–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 5.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
KPV-j's last 4: LWLD Most recently they lost to SJK Akatemia 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
VJS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.7 for VJS and 0.7 for KPV-j. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: VJS 77%, draw 17%, KPV-j 6%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.77, so there is value in it. Predicted score: VJS 2–1 KPV-j. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
VJS77%fair 1.30 · @1.08
Draw17%fair 5.98 · @9.50
KPV-j6%fair 16.17 · @19.00
3.46Expected goals
2.71VJS xG
0.75KPV-j xG
57%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–09%
3–18%
4–07%
From our goals model: VJS 2.7 – 0.7 KPV-j expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VJS to win✓
77%
1.30
1.08
Double chance
VJS or draw✓
94%
1.07
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
VJS ahead at half-time✓
59%
1.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VJS / FT VJS✓
55%
1.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.65
–
Form
VJS – last 3
WWW
13 May
vs FF Jaro
5–3
W
24 Apr
@ Tampere United
4–0
W
14 Apr
@ JäPS Akatemia
7–0
W
5.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
KPV-j – last 4
LWLD
13 May
@ SJK Akatemia
0–2
L
29 Apr
@ RoPo
4–0
W
20 Apr
vs FC jazz
0–2
L
4 Apr
@ PKKU
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between VJS and KPV-j.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win VJS vs KPV-j?
On our numbers VJS have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 17% and KPV-j 6%.
How many goals will there be in VJS vs KPV-j?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for VJS vs KPV-j?
Our predicted score is VJS 2–1 KPV-j, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is VJS vs KPV-j?
VJS vs KPV-j (Ykkönen) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Myyrmaen jalkapallostadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
