SalPa host KPV-j in the Ykkönen on Saturday 9 May, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Salon urheilupuisto. SalPa are 3rd with 48 points from 27 games (in the top four), while KPV-j sit 11th on 19 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 29 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
SalPa's last 4: LLWD Most recently they lost to PKKU 0–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
KPV-j's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat RoPo 4–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.3 for SalPa and 0.7 for KPV-j. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: SalPa 71%, draw 20%, KPV-j 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was SalPa to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: SalPa 2–0 KPV-j. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SalPa71%fair 1.40 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @5.00
KPV-j8%fair 11.99 · @8.50
3.00Expected goals
2.29SalPa xG
0.71KPV-j xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: SalPa 2.3 – 0.7 KPV-j expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SalPa to win
71%
1.40
1.25
Double chance
SalPa or draw
92%
1.09
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
SalPa ahead at half-time
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SalPa / FT SalPa
49%
2.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0
13%
7.69
–
Form
SalPa – last 4
LLWD
2 May
@ PKKU
0–2
L
24 Apr
vs Inter Turku II
2–3
L
14 Apr
@ Fish United
4–0
W
4 Apr
vs Rops
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
KPV-j – last 3
WLD
29 Apr
@ RoPo
4–0
W
20 Apr
vs FC jazz
0–2
L
4 Apr
@ PKKU
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SalPa and KPV-j.
Our pick is SalPa to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win SalPa vs KPV-j?
On our numbers SalPa have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 20% and KPV-j 8%.
How many goals will there be in SalPa vs KPV-j?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SalPa vs KPV-j?
Our predicted score is SalPa 2–0 KPV-j, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is SalPa vs KPV-j?
SalPa vs KPV-j (Ykkönen) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Salon urheilupuisto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
