TPV travel to Keskuskentta in the Ykkönen on Saturday 9 May (13:00 WAT) to face Rops. Rops are 2nd with 48 points from 27 games (in the top four), while TPV sit 10th on 30 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rops's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Ylivieska 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
TPV's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to KuPS Akatemia 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Rops arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.5 for Rops and 0.9 for TPV. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rops 71%, draw 20%, TPV 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rops to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Rops 2–0 TPV. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rops71%fair 1.41 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @5.00
TPV9%fair 10.89 · @8.00
3.40Expected goals
2.52Rops xG
0.88TPV xG
59%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–19%
3–09%
1–08%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Rops 2.5 – 0.9 TPV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rops to win✓
71%
1.41
1.25
Double chance
Rops or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Rops ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rops / FT Rops✗
49%
2.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.45
–
Form
Rops – last 3
WWD
29 Apr
@ Ylivieska
1–0
W
14 Apr
@ Kiisto
2–1
W
4 Apr
@ SalPa
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
TPV – last 3
LLL
24 Apr
@ KuPS Akatemia
0–3
L
15 Apr
vs Tampere United
0–2
L
28 Mar
@ JäPS
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rops and TPV.
Our pick is Rops to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Rops vs TPV?
On our numbers Rops have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 20% and TPV 9%.
How many goals will there be in Rops vs TPV?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rops vs TPV?
Our predicted score is Rops 2–0 TPV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Rops vs TPV?
Rops vs TPV (Ykkönen) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Keskuskentta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
