The Ykkönen sees TPV take on FC jazz on Saturday 2 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass. TPV are 10th with 30 points from 27 games (in the bottom three), while FC jazz sit 6th on 40 points (in the top half).
Form guide
TPV's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to KuPS Akatemia 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for TPV and 1.0 for FC jazz. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: TPV 62%, draw 17%, FC jazz 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was TPV to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: TPV 2–1 FC jazz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
TPV62%fair 1.60 · @1.50
Draw17%fair 5.98 · @4.60
FC jazz21%fair 4.81 · @4.40
3.00Expected goals
1.99TPV xG
1.01FC jazz xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–010%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: TPV 2.0 – 1.0 FC jazz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
TPV to win
62%
1.60
1.50
Double chance
Either team to win
83%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
62%
1.62
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
TPV ahead at half-time
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT TPV / FT TPV
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.04
–
Form
TPV – last 3
LLL
24 Apr
@ KuPS Akatemia
0–3
L
15 Apr
vs Tampere United
0–2
L
28 Mar
@ JäPS
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FC jazz – last 2
WL
20 Apr
@ KPV-j
2–0
W
2 Apr
@ Tampere United
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between TPV and FC jazz.
Our pick is TPV to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win TPV vs FC jazz?
On our numbers TPV have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 17% and FC jazz 21%.
How many goals will there be in TPV vs FC jazz?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for TPV vs FC jazz?
Our predicted score is TPV 2–1 FC jazz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is TPV vs FC jazz?
TPV vs FC jazz (Ykkönen) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
