SalPa travel to Kalevan Urheilupuisto in the Ykkönen on Saturday 2 May (12:00 WAT) to face PKKU. PKKU are 7th with 38 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while SalPa sit 3rd on 48 points (in the top four).
Form guide
SalPa's last 3: LWD Most recently they lost to Inter Turku II 2–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for PKKU and 1.7 for SalPa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: PKKU 35%, draw 20%, SalPa 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.36.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: PKKU 1–1 SalPa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PKKU35%fair 2.84 · @2.62
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.50
SalPa45%fair 2.25 · @2.20
3.13Expected goals
1.46PKKU xG
1.67SalPa xG
68%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: PKKU 1.5 – 1.7 SalPa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SalPa to win✗
45%
2.25
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SalPa / FT SalPa✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.22
–
Form
PKKU – last 2
LD
15 Apr
vs KäPa
2–3
L
4 Apr
vs KPV-j
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
SalPa – last 3
LWD
24 Apr
vs Inter Turku II
2–3
L
14 Apr
@ Fish United
4–0
W
4 Apr
vs Rops
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PKKU and SalPa.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win PKKU vs SalPa?
On our numbers PKKU have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and SalPa 45%.
How many goals will there be in PKKU vs SalPa?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PKKU vs SalPa?
Our predicted score is PKKU 1–1 SalPa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is PKKU vs SalPa?
PKKU vs SalPa (Ykkönen) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Kalevan Urheilupuisto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
