Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Kagoshima United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Kagoshima United to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKagoshima United to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceKagoshima United or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.10
Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United preview and prediction
The match
Kitakyushu host Kagoshima United in the J2 League on Sunday 24 May, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu.
Form guide
Kitakyushu's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Biwako Shiga 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Kagoshima United's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Roasso Kumamoto 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for Kitakyushu and 1.6 for Kagoshima United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kitakyushu 20%, draw 22%, Kagoshima United 58%.
Safer route: Kagoshima United or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Kagoshima United to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kagoshima United or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Kitakyushu 0–1 Kagoshima United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kitakyushu20%fair 5.00 · @3.90
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Kagoshima United58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
2.45Expected goals
0.82Kitakyushu xG
1.64Kagoshima United xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
1–07%
From our goals model: Kitakyushu 0.8 – 1.6 Kagoshima United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kagoshima United to win✓
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Kagoshima United or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kagoshima United / FT Kagoshima United✓
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.10
–
Form
Kitakyushu – last 6
LLWLWL
17 May
@ Biwako Shiga
0–1
L
6 May
vs Roasso Kumamoto
1–2
L
3 May
vs Oita Trinita
2–1
W
29 Apr
@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0–3
L
18 Apr
@ FC Ryukyu
2–0
W
12 Apr
vs Sagan Tosu
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kagoshima United – last 6
WLLLLW
17 May
vs Roasso Kumamoto
2–1
W
10 May
@ Biwako Shiga
0–1
L
6 May
vs Oita Trinita
0–1
L
25 Apr
@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0–1
L
18 Apr
@ Renofa Yamaguchi
1–2
L
12 Apr
vs Gainare Tottori
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kitakyushu and Kagoshima United.
What is the prediction for Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United?
Our pick is Kagoshima United or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United?
On our numbers Kitakyushu have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kagoshima United 58%.
How many goals will there be in Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United?
Our predicted score is Kitakyushu 0–1 Kagoshima United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United?
Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.