Montedio Yamagata vs Shonan Bellmare Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 24 May 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultShonan Bellmare to win ✗45% · @2.15

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.89

Montedio Yamagata vs Shonan Bellmare preview and prediction

The match

Shonan Bellmare travel to ND Soft Stadium Yamagata in the J2 League on Sunday 24 May (06:00 WAT) to face Montedio Yamagata. Montedio Yamagata are 14th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Shonan Bellmare sit 10th on 23 points (in the top half).

Form guide

Montedio Yamagata's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Tochigi City 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.

Shonan Bellmare's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Vegalta Sendai 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.

Shonan Bellmare arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 14 March 2026, finished Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Montedio Yamagata.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Montedio Yamagata and 1.4 for Shonan Bellmare. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Montedio Yamagata 34%, draw 21%, Shonan Bellmare 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Montedio Yamagata 1–1 Shonan Bellmare. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Montedio Yamagata34%fair 2.90 · @3.00

Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.30

Shonan Bellmare45%fair 2.24 · @2.15

2.65Expected goals

1.22Montedio Yamagata xG

1.44Shonan Bellmare xG

58%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%

0–110%

1–29%

1–09%

2–17%

0–27%

From our goals model: Montedio Yamagata 1.2 – 1.4 Shonan Bellmare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Shonan Bellmare to win ✗	45%	2.24	2.15
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.27	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	58%	1.73	1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.98	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	71%	1.42	1.36
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	43%	2.35	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Shonan Bellmare / FT Shonan Bellmare ✗	25%	4.04	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	10%	9.89	–

Form

Montedio Yamagata – last 6

LLLLLW

16 May	@ Tochigi City	0–3	L
10 May	vs Sagamihara	2–3	L
6 May	vs Thespakusatsu Gunma	1–2	L
29 Apr	@ Blaublitz Akita	0–2	L
25 Apr	@ Vegalta Sendai	0–1	L
19 Apr	vs Vanraure Hachinohe	1–0	W

0.7Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Shonan Bellmare – last 6

LLWLLW

16 May	vs Vegalta Sendai	0–2	L
10 May	vs Yokohama FC	0–1	L
6 May	@ Vanraure Hachinohe	1–0	W
2 May	vs Tochigi City	1–2	L
18 Apr	vs Thespakusatsu Gunma	1–2	L
12 Apr	@ Blaublitz Akita	1–0	W

0.7Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata vs Shonan Bellmare?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Montedio Yamagata vs Shonan Bellmare?

On our numbers Montedio Yamagata have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Shonan Bellmare 45%.

How many goals will there be in Montedio Yamagata vs Shonan Bellmare?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Montedio Yamagata vs Shonan Bellmare?

Our predicted score is Montedio Yamagata 1–1 Shonan Bellmare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Montedio Yamagata vs Shonan Bellmare?

Montedio Yamagata vs Shonan Bellmare (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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Match result

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Exact outcomes