Value bet: Iwaki to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIwaki to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceIwaki or draw ✗82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.59
Iwaki vs Ventforet Kofu preview and prediction
The match
The J2 League sees Iwaki take on Ventforet Kofu on Saturday 9 May, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Iwaki Greenfield. Iwaki are 8th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Ventforet Kofu sit 20th on 12 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Iwaki's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Omiya Ardija 2–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Ventforet Kofu's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Jubilo Iwata 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Ventforet Kofu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 March 2026, finished Ventforet Kofu 0–1 Iwaki.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Iwaki and 0.7 for Ventforet Kofu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Iwaki to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Iwaki 1–0 Ventforet Kofu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Iwaki61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.20
Ventforet Kofu18%fair 5.56 · @3.95
2.39Expected goals
1.66Iwaki xG
0.73Ventforet Kofu xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Iwaki 1.7 – 0.7 Ventforet Kofu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Iwaki vs Ventforet Kofu?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Iwaki vs Ventforet Kofu?
On our numbers Iwaki have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ventforet Kofu 18%.
How many goals will there be in Iwaki vs Ventforet Kofu?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iwaki vs Ventforet Kofu?
Our predicted score is Iwaki 1–0 Ventforet Kofu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Iwaki vs Ventforet Kofu?
Iwaki vs Ventforet Kofu (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Iwaki Greenfield.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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