Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi City prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Thespakusatsu Gunma to win @ 2.80 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultThespakusatsu Gunma to win ✗42% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.42
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi City preview and prediction
The match
The J2 League sees Thespakusatsu Gunma take on Tochigi City on Saturday 9 May, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma.
Form guide
Thespakusatsu Gunma's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Montedio Yamagata 2–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Tochigi City's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Shonan Bellmare 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Thespakusatsu Gunma arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for Thespakusatsu Gunma and 1.5 for Tochigi City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Thespakusatsu Gunma 42%, draw 23%, Tochigi City 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Thespakusatsu Gunma to win at 2.80 – 42% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Thespakusatsu Gunma 1–1 Tochigi City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Thespakusatsu Gunma42%fair 2.39 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.40
Tochigi City35%fair 2.82 · @2.25
3.11Expected goals
1.63Thespakusatsu Gunma xG
1.48Tochigi City xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Thespakusatsu Gunma 1.6 – 1.5 Tochigi City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Thespakusatsu Gunma to win✗
42%
2.39
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Thespakusatsu Gunma / FT Thespakusatsu Gunma✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.42
–
Form
Thespakusatsu Gunma – last 6
WWLWWL
6 May
@ Montedio Yamagata
2–1
W
3 May
@ Vanraure Hachinohe
1–0
W
29 Apr
vs Vegalta Sendai
1–3
L
25 Apr
vs Yokohama FC
3–1
W
18 Apr
@ Shonan Bellmare
2–1
W
12 Apr
@ Tochigi SC
1–5
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Tochigi City – last 6
WLWLLW
2 May
@ Shonan Bellmare
2–1
W
29 Apr
@ Sagamihara
0–1
L
25 Apr
vs Tochigi SC
2–1
W
18 Apr
@ Vegalta Sendai
0–5
L
12 Apr
vs Vanraure Hachinohe
2–4
L
29 Mar
@ Montedio Yamagata
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thespakusatsu Gunma and Tochigi City.
What is the prediction for Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi City?
On our numbers Thespakusatsu Gunma have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tochigi City 35%.
How many goals will there be in Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi City?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi City?
Our predicted score is Thespakusatsu Gunma 1–1 Tochigi City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi City?
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi City (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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