Oita Trinita vs Renofa Yamaguchi prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOita Trinita to win ✗38% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.70
Oita Trinita vs Renofa Yamaguchi preview and prediction
The match
The J2 League sees Oita Trinita take on Renofa Yamaguchi on Saturday 11 April, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Resonac Dome Oita.
Form guide
Oita Trinita's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Sagan Tosu 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Renofa Yamaguchi's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Renofa Yamaguchi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished Renofa Yamaguchi 3–1 Oita Trinita.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Oita Trinita and 1.1 for Renofa Yamaguchi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.93 – 55% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Oita Trinita 1–1 Renofa Yamaguchi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oita Trinita38%fair 2.62 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Renofa Yamaguchi36%fair 2.74 · @2.88
2.33Expected goals
1.18Oita Trinita xG
1.15Renofa Yamaguchi xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Oita Trinita 1.2 – 1.1 Renofa Yamaguchi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Oita Trinita vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Oita Trinita vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
On our numbers Oita Trinita have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Renofa Yamaguchi 36%.
How many goals will there be in Oita Trinita vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oita Trinita vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Our predicted score is Oita Trinita 1–1 Renofa Yamaguchi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Oita Trinita vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Oita Trinita vs Renofa Yamaguchi (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Resonac Dome Oita.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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