Value bet: Kataller Toyama to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKataller Toyama to win ✓45% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34
Osaka vs Kataller Toyama preview and prediction
The match
Osaka host Kataller Toyama in the J2 League on Saturday 11 April, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium.
Form guide
Osaka's last 4: LWWL Most recently they lost to Tokushima Vortis 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kataller Toyama's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Nara Club 5–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.
Kataller Toyama arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Osaka and 1.5 for Kataller Toyama. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Kataller Toyama to win at 2.50 – 45% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Osaka 1–1 Kataller Toyama. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Osaka33%fair 3.03 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.10
Kataller Toyama45%fair 2.23 · @2.50
2.74Expected goals
1.24Osaka xG
1.50Kataller Toyama xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Osaka 1.2 – 1.5 Kataller Toyama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kataller Toyama to win✓
45%
2.23
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kataller Toyama / FT Kataller Toyama✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.34
–
Form
Osaka – last 4
LWWL
5 Apr
@ Tokushima Vortis
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Ehime FC
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Nara Club
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Imabari
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Kataller Toyama – last 5
WWLWW
5 Apr
vs Nara Club
5–2
W
20 Mar
@ Albirex Niigata
3–2
W
15 Mar
vs Kanazawa
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Tokushima Vortis
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ Kamatamare Sanuki
5–1
W
3.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Osaka and Kataller Toyama.
What is the prediction for Osaka vs Kataller Toyama?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Osaka vs Kataller Toyama?
On our numbers Osaka have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kataller Toyama 45%.
How many goals will there be in Osaka vs Kataller Toyama?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Osaka vs Kataller Toyama?
Our predicted score is Osaka 1–1 Kataller Toyama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Osaka vs Kataller Toyama?
Osaka vs Kataller Toyama (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC Gifu1
Renofa Yamaguchi2