Tochigi City vs Sagamihara Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 4 Apr 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultTochigi City to win ✗59% · @1.85

Double chanceTochigi City or draw ✓81% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17

Tochigi City vs Sagamihara preview and prediction

The match

Tochigi City host Sagamihara in the J2 League on Saturday 4 April, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at City Football Station.

Form guide

Tochigi City's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Montedio Yamagata 2–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Sagamihara's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Yokohama FC 2–4 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.

Sagamihara arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for Tochigi City and 1.1 for Sagamihara. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Tochigi City 59%, draw 21%, Sagamihara 19%.
Safer route: Tochigi City or draw (81%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Tochigi City to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Tochigi City or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Tochigi City 2–1 Sagamihara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Tochigi City59%fair 1.68 · @1.85

Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.35

Sagamihara19%fair 5.24 · @3.75

3.26Expected goals

2.13Tochigi City xG

1.14Sagamihara xG

59%Both score

56%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–110%

1–19%

2–09%

1–08%

3–17%

3–06%

From our goals model: Tochigi City 2.1 – 1.1 Sagamihara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Tochigi City to win ✗	59%	1.68	1.85 ▲
Double chance	Tochigi City or draw ✓	81%	1.24	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	59%	1.69	1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	78%	1.28	1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	56%	1.78	1.90 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	65%	1.54	1.33
Half-time result	Tochigi City ahead at half-time ✗	45%	2.24	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Tochigi City / FT Tochigi City ✗	38%	2.60	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.17	–

Form

Tochigi City – last 6

WLWLLL

29 Mar	@ Montedio Yamagata	2–1	W
22 Mar	@ Tochigi SC	2–3	L
15 Mar	@ Vanraure Hachinohe	1–0	W
28 Feb	vs Shonan Bellmare	1–3	L
22 Feb	@ Yokohama FC	1–5	L
15 Feb	vs Blaublitz Akita	0–1	L

1.2Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Sagamihara – last 6

LLWWWL

21 Mar	vs Yokohama FC	2–4	L
14 Mar	@ Vegalta Sendai	1–3	L
8 Mar	vs Tochigi SC	4–0	W
4 Mar	vs Thespakusatsu Gunma	5–0	W
1 Mar	vs Montedio Yamagata	2–1	W
21 Feb	vs Blaublitz Akita	1–2	L

2.5Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tochigi City vs Sagamihara?

Our pick is Tochigi City or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Tochigi City vs Sagamihara?

On our numbers Tochigi City have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sagamihara 19%.

How many goals will there be in Tochigi City vs Sagamihara?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tochigi City vs Sagamihara?

Our predicted score is Tochigi City 2–1 Sagamihara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Tochigi City vs Sagamihara?

Tochigi City vs Sagamihara (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at City Football Station.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes