Value bet: Ventforet Kofu to win @ 3.35 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOmiya Ardija to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.22
Ventforet Kofu vs Omiya Ardija preview and prediction
The match
Omiya Ardija travel to JIT Recycle Ink Stadium in the J2 League on Saturday 28 March (06:00 WAT) to face Ventforet Kofu. Ventforet Kofu are 20th with 12 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Omiya Ardija sit 5th on 30 points (in the top half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ventforet Kofu's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Consadole Sapporo 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Omiya Ardija's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Jubilo Iwata 4–1 away. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game.
Omiya Ardija arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Ventforet Kofu and 1.5 for Omiya Ardija. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Ventforet Kofu to win at 3.35 – 35% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Ventforet Kofu 1–1 Omiya Ardija. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ventforet Kofu35%fair 2.84 · @3.35
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.40
Omiya Ardija44%fair 2.27 · @2.00
2.87Expected goals
1.34Ventforet Kofu xG
1.54Omiya Ardija xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Ventforet Kofu 1.3 – 1.5 Omiya Ardija expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Omiya Ardija to win✗
44%
2.27
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Omiya Ardija / FT Omiya Ardija✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.22
–
Form
Ventforet Kofu – last 5
LLWWW
21 Mar
@ Consadole Sapporo
0–1
L
14 Mar
vs Iwaki
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ FC Gifu
1–0
W
28 Feb
vs Matsumoto Yamaga
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Parceiro Nagano
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Omiya Ardija – last 5
WLWWW
21 Mar
@ Jubilo Iwata
4–1
W
14 Mar
vs Fujieda MYFC
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ Parceiro Nagano
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Fukushima United
6–0
W
14 Feb
vs Consadole Sapporo
3–2
W
3.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ventforet Kofu and Omiya Ardija.
What is the prediction for Ventforet Kofu vs Omiya Ardija?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ventforet Kofu vs Omiya Ardija?
On our numbers Ventforet Kofu have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Omiya Ardija 44%.
How many goals will there be in Ventforet Kofu vs Omiya Ardija?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ventforet Kofu vs Omiya Ardija?
Our predicted score is Ventforet Kofu 1–1 Omiya Ardija, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Ventforet Kofu vs Omiya Ardija?
Ventforet Kofu vs Omiya Ardija (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at JIT Recycle Ink Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.