Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultThespakusatsu Gunma to win ✗39% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.58
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi SC preview and prediction
The match
Tochigi SC travel to Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma in the J2 League on Saturday 28 March (06:00 WAT) to face Thespakusatsu Gunma.
Form guide
Thespakusatsu Gunma's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Shonan Bellmare 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Tochigi SC's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Tochigi City 3–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Thespakusatsu Gunma and 1.4 for Tochigi SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.90 – 59% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Thespakusatsu Gunma 1–1 Tochigi SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Thespakusatsu Gunma39%fair 2.56 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10
Tochigi SC37%fair 2.73 · @2.70
2.81Expected goals
1.43Thespakusatsu Gunma xG
1.38Tochigi SC xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Thespakusatsu Gunma 1.4 – 1.4 Tochigi SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Thespakusatsu Gunma to win✗
39%
2.56
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.90 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Thespakusatsu Gunma / FT Thespakusatsu Gunma✗
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.58
–
Form
Thespakusatsu Gunma – last 5
LLLWL
20 Mar
vs Shonan Bellmare
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Yokohama FC
0–3
L
4 Mar
@ Sagamihara
0–5
L
28 Feb
vs Blaublitz Akita
3–2
W
14 Feb
vs Vanraure Hachinohe
0–1
L
0.6Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Tochigi SC – last 6
WLLWLL
22 Mar
vs Tochigi City
3–2
W
15 Mar
@ Blaublitz Akita
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Sagamihara
0–4
L
1 Mar
vs Yokohama FC
4–0
W
22 Feb
vs Vegalta Sendai
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Montedio Yamagata
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thespakusatsu Gunma and Tochigi SC.
What is the prediction for Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi SC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi SC?
On our numbers Thespakusatsu Gunma have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tochigi SC 37%.
How many goals will there be in Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi SC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi SC?
Our predicted score is Thespakusatsu Gunma 1–1 Tochigi SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi SC?
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi SC (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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