Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Oita Trinita Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 14 Mar 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultTegevajaro Miyazaki to win ✓44% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.07

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Oita Trinita preview and prediction

The match

Tegevajaro Miyazaki host Oita Trinita in the J2 League on Saturday 14 March, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Unilever Stadium Shintomi. Tegevajaro Miyazaki are 6th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Oita Trinita sit 11th on 22 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Tegevajaro Miyazaki's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Kitakyushu 3–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.

Oita Trinita's last 4: LWWW Most recently they lost to Roasso Kumamoto 1–3 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.3.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 1.4 for Oita Trinita. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Win chances: Tegevajaro Miyazaki 44%, draw 22%, Oita Trinita 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Oita Trinita to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1–1 Oita Trinita. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Tegevajaro Miyazaki44%fair 2.25 · @2.05

Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.10

Oita Trinita34%fair 2.98 · @3.20

3.00Expected goals

1.62Tegevajaro Miyazaki xG

1.38Oita Trinita xG

54%Both score

58%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%

2–19%

1–08%

1–28%

0–17%

2–07%

From our goals model: Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1.6 – 1.4 Oita Trinita expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win ✓	44%	2.25	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.28	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	54%	1.85	1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	80%	1.25	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	58%	1.73	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	65%	1.55	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	40%	2.53	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Tegevajaro Miyazaki / FT Tegevajaro Miyazaki ✓	26%	3.85	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.07	–

Form

Tegevajaro Miyazaki – last 4

WWWW

7 Mar	@ Kitakyushu	3–2	W
28 Feb	@ FC Ryukyu	2–0	W
21 Feb	vs Sagan Tosu	2–1	W
15 Feb	vs Gainare Tottori	3–1	W

2.5Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

75%Both scored

75%Over 2.5

Oita Trinita – last 4

LWWW

1 Mar	@ Roasso Kumamoto	1–3	L
25 Feb	vs Biwako Shiga	2–0	W
22 Feb	vs Gainare Tottori	2–0	W
15 Feb	vs Kitakyushu	2–0	W

1.8Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

25%Both scored

25%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Oita Trinita?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Oita Trinita?

On our numbers Tegevajaro Miyazaki have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Oita Trinita 34%.

How many goals will there be in Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Oita Trinita?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Oita Trinita?

Our predicted score is Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1–1 Oita Trinita, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Oita Trinita?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Oita Trinita (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Unilever Stadium Shintomi.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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