Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 14 Mar 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultShonan Bellmare to win ✓61% · @1.85

Double chanceShonan Bellmare or draw ✓81% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.76

Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata preview and prediction

The match

The J2 League sees Shonan Bellmare take on Montedio Yamagata on Saturday 14 March, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Lemon Gas Stadium. Shonan Bellmare are 10th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Montedio Yamagata sit 14th on 19 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Shonan Bellmare's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Tochigi City 3–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Montedio Yamagata's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Blaublitz Akita 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Shonan Bellmare arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Shonan Bellmare and 0.9 for Montedio Yamagata. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Shonan Bellmare 61%, draw 20%, Montedio Yamagata 19%.
Safer route: Shonan Bellmare or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Shonan Bellmare to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Shonan Bellmare or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Shonan Bellmare 1–0 Montedio Yamagata. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Shonan Bellmare61%fair 1.64 · @1.85

Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.25

Montedio Yamagata19%fair 5.18 · @3.60

2.80Expected goals

1.88Shonan Bellmare xG

0.92Montedio Yamagata xG

55%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–011%

2–011%

1–111%

2–110%

3–07%

3–16%

From our goals model: Shonan Bellmare 1.9 – 0.9 Montedio Yamagata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Shonan Bellmare to win ✓	61%	1.64	1.85 ▲
Double chance	Shonan Bellmare or draw ✓	81%	1.24	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	55%	1.82	1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	53%	1.88	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	–
Half-time result	Shonan Bellmare ahead at half-time ✗	43%	2.32	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Shonan Bellmare / FT Shonan Bellmare ✗	38%	2.66	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	11%	8.76	–

Form

Shonan Bellmare – last 3

WWW

28 Feb	@ Tochigi City	3–1	W
21 Feb	vs Vanraure Hachinohe	1–0	W
14 Feb	vs Sagamihara	4–0	W

2.7Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Montedio Yamagata – last 3

LLW

8 Mar	vs Blaublitz Akita	0–1	L
1 Mar	@ Sagamihara	1–2	L
15 Feb	@ Tochigi SC	2–1	W

1.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata?

Our pick is Shonan Bellmare or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata?

On our numbers Shonan Bellmare have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Montedio Yamagata 19%.

How many goals will there be in Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata?

Our predicted score is Shonan Bellmare 1–0 Montedio Yamagata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata?

Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Lemon Gas Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes