Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSagan Tosu to win ✓65% · @1.55
Double chanceSagan Tosu or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Sagan Tosu vs Kitakyushu preview and prediction
The match
Kitakyushu travel to Ekimae Real Estate Stadium in the J2 League on Saturday 14 March (06:00 WAT) to face Sagan Tosu.
Form guide
Sagan Tosu's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Renofa Yamaguchi 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Kitakyushu's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2–3 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Sagan Tosu and 1.0 for Kitakyushu. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 55%.
Our pre-match pick was Sagan Tosu to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Sagan Tosu 2–1 Kitakyushu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sagan Tosu65%fair 1.55 · @1.55
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.60
Kitakyushu16%fair 6.22 · @5.00
3.30Expected goals
2.26Sagan Tosu xG
1.04Kitakyushu xG
55%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sagan Tosu 2.3 – 1.0 Kitakyushu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sagan Tosu to win✓
65%
1.55
1.55
Double chance
Sagan Tosu or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Sagan Tosu ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sagan Tosu / FT Sagan Tosu✓
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.21
–
Form
Sagan Tosu – last 3
LLL
7 Mar
@ Renofa Yamaguchi
0–2
L
28 Feb
vs Kagoshima United
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kitakyushu – last 4
LLLL
7 Mar
vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2–3
L
28 Feb
vs Biwako Shiga
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Roasso Kumamoto
1–4
L
15 Feb
@ Oita Trinita
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sagan Tosu and Kitakyushu.
What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu vs Kitakyushu?
Our pick is Sagan Tosu to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Sagan Tosu vs Kitakyushu?
On our numbers Sagan Tosu have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Kitakyushu 16%.
How many goals will there be in Sagan Tosu vs Kitakyushu?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sagan Tosu vs Kitakyushu?
Our predicted score is Sagan Tosu 2–1 Kitakyushu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Sagan Tosu vs Kitakyushu?
Sagan Tosu vs Kitakyushu (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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