Value bet: Ventforet Kofu to win @ 1.77 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVentforet Kofu to win ✓62% · @1.77
Double chanceVentforet Kofu or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Ventforet Kofu vs Matsumoto Yamaga preview and prediction
The match
Matsumoto Yamaga travel to JIT Recycle Ink Stadium in the J2 League on Saturday 28 February (06:00 WAT) to face Ventforet Kofu.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Ventforet Kofu and 0.9 for Matsumoto Yamaga. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 56%.
Safer route: Ventforet Kofu or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Ventforet Kofu to win at 1.77 – 62% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Ventforet Kofu 2–0 Matsumoto Yamaga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ventforet Kofu62%fair 1.60 · @1.77
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.45
Matsumoto Yamaga18%fair 5.45 · @4.10
2.85Expected goals
1.93Ventforet Kofu xG
0.92Matsumoto Yamaga xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Ventforet Kofu 1.9 – 0.9 Matsumoto Yamaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ventforet Kofu to win✓
62%
1.60
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Ventforet Kofu or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.33
Half-time result
Ventforet Kofu ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ventforet Kofu / FT Ventforet Kofu✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Form
Ventforet Kofu – last 1
W
14 Feb
vs Parceiro Nagano
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Matsumoto Yamaga – last 2
WL
21 Feb
@ Jubilo Iwata
2–1
W
14 Feb
@ Fujieda MYFC
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ventforet Kofu and Matsumoto Yamaga.
What is the prediction for Ventforet Kofu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Ventforet Kofu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
On our numbers Ventforet Kofu have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Matsumoto Yamaga 18%.
How many goals will there be in Ventforet Kofu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ventforet Kofu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Our predicted score is Ventforet Kofu 2–0 Matsumoto Yamaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Ventforet Kofu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Ventforet Kofu vs Matsumoto Yamaga (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at JIT Recycle Ink Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Thespakusatsu Gunma3
Fukushima United0
FC Gifu2
Parceiro Nagano1
Osaka0
Kagoshima United1