Value bet: Shonan Bellmare to win @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultShonan Bellmare to win ✓51% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.38
Tochigi City vs Shonan Bellmare preview and prediction
The match
Shonan Bellmare travel to City Football Station in the J2 League on Saturday 28 February (06:00 WAT) to face Tochigi City. Tochigi City are 18th with 12 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Shonan Bellmare sit 10th on 23 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.2 for Tochigi City and 1.8 for Shonan Bellmare. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tochigi City 27%, draw 22%, Shonan Bellmare 51%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Shonan Bellmare to win at 2.25 – 51% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Tochigi City 1–1 Shonan Bellmare. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tochigi City27%fair 3.74 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.20
Shonan Bellmare51%fair 1.95 · @2.25
2.94Expected goals
1.19Tochigi City xG
1.75Shonan Bellmare xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Tochigi City 1.2 – 1.8 Shonan Bellmare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shonan Bellmare to win✓
51%
1.95
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shonan Bellmare / FT Shonan Bellmare✓
31%
3.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.38
–
Form
Tochigi City – last 2
LL
22 Feb
@ Yokohama FC
1–5
L
15 Feb
vs Blaublitz Akita
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Shonan Bellmare – last 2
WW
21 Feb
vs Vanraure Hachinohe
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Sagamihara
4–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tochigi City and Shonan Bellmare.
What is the prediction for Tochigi City vs Shonan Bellmare?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Tochigi City vs Shonan Bellmare?
On our numbers Tochigi City have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Shonan Bellmare 51%.
How many goals will there be in Tochigi City vs Shonan Bellmare?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tochigi City vs Shonan Bellmare?
Our predicted score is Tochigi City 1–1 Shonan Bellmare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Tochigi City vs Shonan Bellmare?
Tochigi City vs Shonan Bellmare (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at City Football Station.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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