Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.77 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKagoshima United to win ✓43% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.35
Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi preview and prediction
The match
Kagoshima United host Renofa Yamaguchi in the J2 League on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Shiranami Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.7 for Kagoshima United and 1.5 for Renofa Yamaguchi. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kagoshima United 43%, draw 23%, Renofa Yamaguchi 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.77 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: Kagoshima United 1–1 Renofa Yamaguchi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kagoshima United43%fair 2.35 · @1.98
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.30
Renofa Yamaguchi35%fair 2.89 · @3.10
3.19Expected goals
1.69Kagoshima United xG
1.50Renofa Yamaguchi xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Kagoshima United 1.7 – 1.5 Renofa Yamaguchi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kagoshima United to win✓
43%
2.35
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.77 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.29
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.88
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kagoshima United / FT Kagoshima United✗
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.35
–
Form
Kagoshima United – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs FC Ryukyu
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Renofa Yamaguchi – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Biwako Shiga
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kagoshima United and Renofa Yamaguchi.
What is the prediction for Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
On our numbers Kagoshima United have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Renofa Yamaguchi 35%.
How many goals will there be in Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Our predicted score is Kagoshima United 1–1 Renofa Yamaguchi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Shiranami Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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