Tokushima Vortis vs Kataller Toyama prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.24Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 61% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTokushima Vortis to win ✗63% · @1.40
Double chanceTokushima Vortis or draw ✗82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.23
Tokushima Vortis vs Kataller Toyama preview and prediction
The match
Kataller Toyama travel to Pocarisweat Stadium in the J2 League on Sunday 22 February (06:00 WAT) to face Tokushima Vortis. Tokushima Vortis are 15th with 17 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Kataller Toyama sit 3rd on 31 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.6 for Tokushima Vortis and 1.3 for Kataller Toyama. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 61% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Tokushima Vortis 2–1 Kataller Toyama. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tokushima Vortis63%fair 1.58 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @4.20
Kataller Toyama18%fair 5.60 · @6.25
3.89Expected goals
2.56Tokushima Vortis xG
1.33Kataller Toyama xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–07%
2–26%
3–06%
From our goals model: Tokushima Vortis 2.6 – 1.3 Kataller Toyama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tokushima Vortis to win✗
63%
1.58
1.40
Double chance
Tokushima Vortis or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.75 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.36
Half-time result
Tokushima Vortis ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tokushima Vortis / FT Tokushima Vortis✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.23
–
Form
Tokushima Vortis – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Albirex Niigata
4–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Kataller Toyama – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ Kamatamare Sanuki
5–1
W
5.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tokushima Vortis and Kataller Toyama.
What is the prediction for Tokushima Vortis vs Kataller Toyama?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Tokushima Vortis vs Kataller Toyama?
On our numbers Tokushima Vortis have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Kataller Toyama 18%.
How many goals will there be in Tokushima Vortis vs Kataller Toyama?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tokushima Vortis vs Kataller Toyama?
Our predicted score is Tokushima Vortis 2–1 Kataller Toyama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Tokushima Vortis vs Kataller Toyama?
Tokushima Vortis vs Kataller Toyama (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Pocarisweat Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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