Value bet: Oita Trinita to win @ 1.80 – our chance 66% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOita Trinita to win ✓66% · @1.80
Double chanceOita Trinita or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓10% · fair 9.78
Oita Trinita vs Kitakyushu preview and prediction
The match
The J2 League sees Oita Trinita take on Kitakyushu on Sunday 15 February, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Resonac Dome Oita.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for Oita Trinita and 1.0 for Kitakyushu. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 53% and both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Oita Trinita to win at 1.80 – 66% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.38, above our fair price of 1.33, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Oita Trinita 2–0 Kitakyushu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oita Trinita66%fair 1.52 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.30
Kitakyushu14%fair 7.23 · @4.20
3.21Expected goals
2.25Oita Trinita xG
0.96Kitakyushu xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Oita Trinita 2.3 – 1.0 Kitakyushu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oita Trinita to win✓
66%
1.52
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Oita Trinita or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
2.15 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.22
Half-time result
Oita Trinita ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oita Trinita / FT Oita Trinita✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
10%
9.78
–
Form
Oita Trinita
No recent results on record.
Kitakyushu
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oita Trinita and Kitakyushu.
What is the prediction for Oita Trinita vs Kitakyushu?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Oita Trinita vs Kitakyushu?
On our numbers Oita Trinita have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kitakyushu 14%.
How many goals will there be in Oita Trinita vs Kitakyushu?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oita Trinita vs Kitakyushu?
Our predicted score is Oita Trinita 2–0 Kitakyushu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Oita Trinita vs Kitakyushu?
Oita Trinita vs Kitakyushu (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Resonac Dome Oita.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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