Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTokushima Vortis to win ✓46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.88
Tokushima Vortis vs Albirex Niigata preview and prediction
The match
Albirex Niigata travel to Pocarisweat Stadium in the J2 League on Sunday 15 February (06:00 WAT) to face Tokushima Vortis. Tokushima Vortis are 15th with 17 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Albirex Niigata sit 1st on 32 points (top of the table). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Tokushima Vortis and 1.3 for Albirex Niigata. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 50% and both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Tokushima Vortis 1–1 Albirex Niigata. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tokushima Vortis46%fair 2.17 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.20
Albirex Niigata32%fair 3.12 · @3.35
2.96Expected goals
1.64Tokushima Vortis xG
1.32Albirex Niigata xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Tokushima Vortis 1.6 – 1.3 Albirex Niigata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tokushima Vortis to win✓
46%
2.17
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
2.15 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tokushima Vortis / FT Tokushima Vortis✓
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.88
–
Form
Tokushima Vortis
No recent results on record.
Albirex Niigata
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tokushima Vortis and Albirex Niigata.
What is the prediction for Tokushima Vortis vs Albirex Niigata?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Tokushima Vortis vs Albirex Niigata?
On our numbers Tokushima Vortis have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Albirex Niigata 32%.
How many goals will there be in Tokushima Vortis vs Albirex Niigata?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tokushima Vortis vs Albirex Niigata?
Our predicted score is Tokushima Vortis 1–1 Albirex Niigata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tokushima Vortis vs Albirex Niigata?
Tokushima Vortis vs Albirex Niigata (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Pocarisweat Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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