Sagan Tosu vs Roasso Kumamoto prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Sagan Tosu or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Sagan Tosu to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultSagan Tosu to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceSagan Tosu or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Sagan Tosu vs Roasso Kumamoto preview and prediction
The match
Sagan Tosu host Roasso Kumamoto in the J2 League on Sunday 15 February, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Sagan Tosu and 1.1 for Roasso Kumamoto. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Sagan Tosu to win at 1.85 – 62% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sagan Tosu or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sagan Tosu 2–1 Roasso Kumamoto. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sagan Tosu62%fair 1.61 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
Roasso Kumamoto16%fair 6.07 · @3.80
3.32Expected goals
2.23Sagan Tosu xG
1.09Roasso Kumamoto xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sagan Tosu 2.2 – 1.1 Roasso Kumamoto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sagan Tosu to win✗
62%
1.61
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Sagan Tosu or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.90 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.30
Half-time result
Sagan Tosu ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sagan Tosu / FT Sagan Tosu✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Form
Sagan Tosu
No recent results on record.
Roasso Kumamoto
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sagan Tosu and Roasso Kumamoto.
What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Our pick is Sagan Tosu or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sagan Tosu vs Roasso Kumamoto?
On our numbers Sagan Tosu have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Roasso Kumamoto 16%.
How many goals will there be in Sagan Tosu vs Roasso Kumamoto?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sagan Tosu vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Our predicted score is Sagan Tosu 2–1 Roasso Kumamoto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Sagan Tosu vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Sagan Tosu vs Roasso Kumamoto (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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