Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Sogdiana to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSogdiana to win ✓59% · @1.91
Double chanceSogdiana or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.05
Sogdiana vs Qizilqum preview and prediction
The match
Sogdiana host Qizilqum in the Super League on Tuesday 18 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Sogdiana Sport Complex. Sogdiana are 12th with 30 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while Qizilqum sit 9th on 35 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sogdiana's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Surkhon 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Qizilqum's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Mash'al 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Sogdiana arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 April 2026, finished Qizilqum 1–3 Sogdiana.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Sogdiana and 1.0 for Qizilqum. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Sogdiana to win at 1.91 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sogdiana or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sogdiana 2–1 Qizilqum. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sogdiana59%fair 1.69 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.20
Qizilqum17%fair 5.84 · @3.50
3.06Expected goals
2.03Sogdiana xG
1.03Qizilqum xG
58%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sogdiana 2.0 – 1.0 Qizilqum expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Sogdiana or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sogdiana vs Qizilqum?
On our numbers Sogdiana have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Qizilqum 17%.
How many goals will there be in Sogdiana vs Qizilqum?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sogdiana vs Qizilqum?
Our predicted score is Sogdiana 2–1 Qizilqum, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Sogdiana vs Qizilqum?
Sogdiana vs Qizilqum (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Sogdiana Sport Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
