Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNeftchi to win ✗62% · @1.55
Double chanceNeftchi or draw ✗87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.23
Buxoro vs Neftchi preview and prediction
The match
Neftchi travel to Buxoro FA Stadioni in the Super League on Tuesday 18 August (16:00 WAT) to face Buxoro. Buxoro are 7th with 42 points from 27 games (in the top half), while Neftchi sit 1st on 61 points (top of the table). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Buxoro's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Olmaliq 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Neftchi's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Andijan 3–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Neftchi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 July 2026, finished Neftchi 2–1 Buxoro.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.7 for Buxoro and 1.8 for Neftchi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Buxoro 13%, draw 24%, Neftchi 62%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Neftchi to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Buxoro 0–1 Neftchi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Buxoro13%fair 7.41 · @5.00
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.40
Neftchi62%fair 1.60 · @1.55
2.59Expected goals
0.75Buxoro xG
1.84Neftchi xG
48%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–08%
From our goals model: Buxoro 0.7 – 1.8 Neftchi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Neftchi to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Buxoro vs Neftchi?
On our numbers Buxoro have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Neftchi 62%.
How many goals will there be in Buxoro vs Neftchi?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buxoro vs Neftchi?
Our predicted score is Buxoro 0–1 Neftchi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Buxoro vs Neftchi?
Buxoro vs Neftchi (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Buxoro FA Stadioni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
