Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultXorazm to win ✓66% · @1.67
Double chanceXorazm or draw ✓89% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.75
Xorazm vs Mash'al preview and prediction
The match
Xorazm host Mash'al in the Super League on Friday 7 August, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Xorazm Stadium. Xorazm are 13th with 26 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while Mash'al sit 16th on 5 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Xorazm's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Navbahor 1–5 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Mash'al's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Sogdiana 1–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Xorazm and 0.6 for Mash'al. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Xorazm 66%, draw 23%, Mash'al 11%.
Safer route: Xorazm or draw (89%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Xorazm to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Xorazm 1–0 Mash'al. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Xorazm66%fair 1.53 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.30
Mash'al11%fair 8.90 · @4.50
2.30Expected goals
1.73Xorazm xG
0.57Mash'al xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
0–010%
1–110%
3–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Xorazm 1.7 – 0.6 Mash'al expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Xorazm to win✓
66%
1.53
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Xorazm or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Xorazm ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Xorazm / FT Xorazm✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.75
–
Form
Xorazm – last 6
LWLLLD
2 Aug
@ Navbahor
1–5
L
28 Jul
vs Surkhon
1–0
W
21 Jul
@ Pakhtakor
1–2
L
16 Jul
@ Sogdiana
0–2
L
4 May
vs Andijan
0–3
L
29 Apr
@ Qizilqum
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mash'al – last 6
LLDWLL
2 Aug
vs Sogdiana
1–3
L
27 Jul
@ Olmaliq
1–2
L
22 Jul
vs Nasaf
1–1
D
17 Jul
vs Kokand-1912
1–0
W
27 Apr
vs Buxoro
0–1
L
22 Apr
@ Surkhon
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Xorazm and Mash'al.
Our pick is Xorazm to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Xorazm vs Mash'al?
On our numbers Xorazm have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mash'al 11%.
How many goals will there be in Xorazm vs Mash'al?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xorazm vs Mash'al?
Our predicted score is Xorazm 1–0 Mash'al, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Xorazm vs Mash'al?
Xorazm vs Mash'al (Super League) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Xorazm Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
