Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNavbahor to win ✓64% · @1.70
Double chanceNavbahor or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15% · fair 6.65
Surkhon vs Navbahor preview and prediction
The match
Navbahor travel to Stadion Surkhon in the Super League on Friday 7 August (15:00 WAT) to face Surkhon. Surkhon are 10th with 31 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while Navbahor sit 3rd on 55 points (in the top four). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Surkhon's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Kokand-1912 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Navbahor's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Xorazm 5–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Surkhon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Navbahor 2–0 Surkhon.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for Surkhon and 1.8 for Navbahor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Surkhon 14%, draw 22%, Navbahor 64%.
Safer route: Navbahor or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Navbahor to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Surkhon 0–1 Navbahor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Surkhon14%fair 6.91 · @4.40
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.20
Navbahor64%fair 1.57 · @1.70
2.47Expected goals
0.69Surkhon xG
1.78Navbahor xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%
From our goals model: Surkhon 0.7 – 1.8 Navbahor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Navbahor to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Surkhon vs Navbahor?
On our numbers Surkhon have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Navbahor 64%.
How many goals will there be in Surkhon vs Navbahor?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Surkhon vs Navbahor?
Our predicted score is Surkhon 0–1 Navbahor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Surkhon vs Navbahor?
Surkhon vs Navbahor (Super League) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Surkhon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
