Value bet: Surkhon to win @ 3.40 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKokand-1912 to win ✗40% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.81
Kokand-1912 vs Surkhon preview and prediction
The match
Kokand-1912 host Surkhon in the Super League on Monday 3 August, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT). Kokand-1912 are 15th with 24 points from 27 games (in the bottom three), while Surkhon sit 10th on 31 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Kokand-1912's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Dinamo Samarqand 2–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Surkhon's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Xorazm 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Surkhon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Kokand-1912 and 1.2 for Surkhon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Surkhon to win at 3.40 – 36% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Kokand-1912 1–1 Surkhon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kokand-191240%fair 2.50 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.00
Surkhon36%fair 2.81 · @3.40
2.57Expected goals
1.33Kokand-1912 xG
1.24Surkhon xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Kokand-1912 1.3 – 1.2 Surkhon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kokand-1912 to win✗
40%
2.50
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kokand-1912 / FT Kokand-1912✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.81
–
Form
Kokand-1912 – last 6
LLLWLL
29 Jul
@ Dinamo Samarqand
2–3
L
22 Jul
vs Olmaliq
1–4
L
17 Jul
@ Mash'al
0–1
L
3 May
vs Bunyodkor
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ Neftchi
0–4
L
24 Apr
@ Qizilqum
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Surkhon – last 6
LLWLWL
28 Jul
@ Xorazm
0–1
L
23 Jul
vs Dinamo Samarqand
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ Andijan
2–1
W
28 Apr
@ Sogdiana
2–5
L
22 Apr
vs Mash'al
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs Qizilqum
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kokand-1912 and Surkhon.
What is the prediction for Kokand-1912 vs Surkhon?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Kokand-1912 vs Surkhon?
On our numbers Kokand-1912 have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Surkhon 36%.
How many goals will there be in Kokand-1912 vs Surkhon?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kokand-1912 vs Surkhon?
Our predicted score is Kokand-1912 1–1 Surkhon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Kokand-1912 vs Surkhon?
Kokand-1912 vs Surkhon (Super League) kicks off on Monday 3 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
