Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNeftchi to win ✗67% · @1.57
Double chanceNeftchi or draw ✓89% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 8.91
Dinamo Samarqand vs Neftchi preview and prediction
The match
Dinamo Samarqand host Neftchi in the Super League on Monday 3 August, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Dinamo Samarkand Stadium. Dinamo Samarqand are 8th with 37 points from 27 games (in the top half), while Neftchi sit 1st on 61 points (top of the table). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Dinamo Samarqand's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Kokand-1912 3–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Neftchi's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Navbahor 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.9 for Dinamo Samarqand and 2.3 for Neftchi. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dinamo Samarqand 11%, draw 22%, Neftchi 67%.
Safer route: Neftchi or draw (89%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Neftchi to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Dinamo Samarqand 0–2 Neftchi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dinamo Samarqand11%fair 9.33 · @4.80
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.50
Neftchi67%fair 1.49 · @1.57
3.14Expected goals
0.86Dinamo Samarqand xG
2.28Neftchi xG
58%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
0–39%
1–19%
1–37%
From our goals model: Dinamo Samarqand 0.9 – 2.3 Neftchi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Neftchi to win✗
67%
1.49
1.57 ▲
Double chance
Neftchi or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Neftchi ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Neftchi / FT Neftchi✗
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
8.91
–
Form
Dinamo Samarqand – last 6
WWWLDL
29 Jul
vs Kokand-1912
3–2
W
23 Jul
@ Surkhon
2–1
W
18 Jul
@ Qizilqum
2–1
W
28 Apr
@ Andijan
1–2
L
23 Apr
vs Olmaliq
2–2
D
12 Apr
vs Lokomotiv
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Neftchi – last 6
DWWLDW
28 Jul
vs Navbahor
1–1
D
21 Jul
@ Sogdiana
5–1
W
16 Jul
vs Buxoro
2–1
W
8 Jul
@ Zenit
1–4
L
3 May
@ Olmaliq
0–0
D
29 Apr
vs Kokand-1912
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dinamo Samarqand and Neftchi.
What is the prediction for Dinamo Samarqand vs Neftchi?
Our pick is Neftchi to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Dinamo Samarqand vs Neftchi?
On our numbers Dinamo Samarqand have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Neftchi 67%.
How many goals will there be in Dinamo Samarqand vs Neftchi?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dinamo Samarqand vs Neftchi?
Our predicted score is Dinamo Samarqand 0–2 Neftchi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Dinamo Samarqand vs Neftchi?
Dinamo Samarqand vs Neftchi (Super League) kicks off on Monday 3 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Dinamo Samarkand Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
