Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPakhtakor to win ✓67% · @1.36
Double chancePakhtakor or draw ✓91% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.20
Pakhtakor vs Xorazm preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Pakhtakor take on Xorazm on Tuesday 21 July, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Pakhtakor Central Stadium. Pakhtakor are 2nd with 59 points from 27 games (in the top four), while Xorazm sit 13th on 26 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 33 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Pakhtakor's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Lokomotiv 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Xorazm's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Sogdiana 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Pakhtakor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Pakhtakor and 0.6 for Xorazm. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pakhtakor 67%, draw 24%, Xorazm 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Pakhtakor to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Pakhtakor 1–0 Xorazm. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pakhtakor67%fair 1.50 · @1.36
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @4.00
Xorazm9%fair 10.54 · @7.50
2.50Expected goals
1.89Pakhtakor xG
0.61Xorazm xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
1–19%
3–09%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Pakhtakor 1.9 – 0.6 Xorazm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pakhtakor to win✓
67%
1.50
1.36
Double chance
Pakhtakor or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Pakhtakor ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pakhtakor / FT Pakhtakor✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.20
–
Form
Pakhtakor – last 6
DDWWWW
17 Jul
vs Lokomotiv
1–1
D
28 Apr
vs Nasaf
2–2
D
22 Apr
@ Buxoro
1–0
W
13 Apr
vs Mash'al
2–1
W
9 Apr
@ Neftchi
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Olmaliq
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Xorazm – last 6
LLDLDD
16 Jul
@ Sogdiana
0–2
L
4 May
vs Andijan
0–3
L
29 Apr
@ Qizilqum
0–0
D
24 Apr
vs Neftchi
0–2
L
14 Apr
vs Kokand-1912
2–2
D
7 Apr
@ Lokomotiv
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pakhtakor and Xorazm.
Our pick is Pakhtakor to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Pakhtakor vs Xorazm?
On our numbers Pakhtakor have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Xorazm 9%.
How many goals will there be in Pakhtakor vs Xorazm?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pakhtakor vs Xorazm?
Our predicted score is Pakhtakor 1–0 Xorazm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pakhtakor vs Xorazm?
Pakhtakor vs Xorazm (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 21 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Pakhtakor Central Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
