Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPakhtakor to win ✗60% · @1.60
Double chancePakhtakor or draw ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Pakhtakor vs Lokomotiv preview and prediction
The match
Lokomotiv travel to Pakhtakor Central Stadium in the Super League on Friday 17 July (16:00 WAT) to face Pakhtakor. Pakhtakor are 2nd with 59 points from 27 games (in the top four), while Lokomotiv sit 6th on 43 points (in the top half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Pakhtakor's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Nasaf 2–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Lokomotiv's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Qizilqum 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Pakhtakor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Pakhtakor and 0.9 for Lokomotiv. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 59%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pakhtakor 1–1 Lokomotiv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pakhtakor60%fair 1.66 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.50
Lokomotiv18%fair 5.68 · @4.80
2.82Expected goals
1.90Pakhtakor xG
0.92Lokomotiv xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Pakhtakor 1.9 – 0.9 Lokomotiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pakhtakor to win✗
60%
1.66
1.60
Double chance
Pakhtakor or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Pakhtakor ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pakhtakor / FT Pakhtakor✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Form
Pakhtakor – last 6
DWWWWW
28 Apr
vs Nasaf
2–2
D
22 Apr
@ Buxoro
1–0
W
13 Apr
vs Mash'al
2–1
W
9 Apr
@ Neftchi
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Olmaliq
3–1
W
20 Mar
@ Sogdiana
4–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv – last 6
WLWLWD
4 May
vs Qizilqum
1–0
W
27 Apr
@ Olmaliq
1–2
L
23 Apr
@ Nasaf
3–2
W
17 Apr
vs Navbahor
0–2
L
12 Apr
@ Dinamo Samarqand
2–1
W
7 Apr
vs Xorazm
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pakhtakor and Lokomotiv.
What is the prediction for Pakhtakor vs Lokomotiv?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Pakhtakor vs Lokomotiv?
On our numbers Pakhtakor have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lokomotiv 18%.
How many goals will there be in Pakhtakor vs Lokomotiv?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pakhtakor vs Lokomotiv?
Our predicted score is Pakhtakor 1–1 Lokomotiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Pakhtakor vs Lokomotiv?
Pakhtakor vs Lokomotiv (Super League) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Pakhtakor Central Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
