Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNavbahor to win ✗58% · @1.70
Double chanceNavbahor or draw ✗81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.18
Navbahor vs Olmaliq preview and prediction
The match
Olmaliq travel to Markaziy Stadium in the Super League on Friday 17 July (16:00 WAT) to face Navbahor. Navbahor are 3rd with 55 points from 27 games (in the top four), while Olmaliq sit 5th on 45 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Navbahor's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Nasaf 0–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Olmaliq's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Neftchi 0–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.5 for Navbahor and 0.7 for Olmaliq. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Navbahor 58%, draw 23%, Olmaliq 19%.
Safer route: Navbahor or draw (81%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 52% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Navbahor to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Navbahor 1–0 Olmaliq. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Navbahor58%fair 1.73 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.10
Olmaliq19%fair 5.29 · @4.75
2.27Expected goals
1.54Navbahor xG
0.73Olmaliq xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Navbahor 1.5 – 0.7 Olmaliq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Navbahor to win✗
58%
1.73
1.70
Double chance
Navbahor or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Navbahor / FT Navbahor✗
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.18
–
Form
Navbahor – last 6
DLDWWW
4 May
@ Nasaf
0–0
D
29 Apr
@ Bunyodkor
1–2
L
23 Apr
vs Sogdiana
1–1
D
17 Apr
@ Lokomotiv
2–0
W
12 Apr
vs Surkhon
2–0
W
7 Apr
@ Andijan
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Olmaliq – last 6
DWDWDL
3 May
vs Neftchi
0–0
D
27 Apr
vs Lokomotiv
2–1
W
23 Apr
@ Dinamo Samarqand
2–2
D
17 Apr
vs Buxoro
3–2
W
8 Apr
vs Surkhon
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Pakhtakor
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Navbahor and Olmaliq.
Our pick is Navbahor to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Navbahor vs Olmaliq?
On our numbers Navbahor have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Olmaliq 19%.
How many goals will there be in Navbahor vs Olmaliq?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Navbahor vs Olmaliq?
Our predicted score is Navbahor 1–0 Olmaliq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Navbahor vs Olmaliq?
Navbahor vs Olmaliq (Super League) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Markaziy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
