Navbahor travel to Markaziy Stadium in the Super League on Monday 4 May (16:00 WAT) to face Nasaf. Nasaf are 4th with 45 points from 27 games (in the top four), while Navbahor sit 3rd on 55 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Nasaf's last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with Pakhtakor 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Navbahor's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Bunyodkor 1–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Navbahor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Nasaf and 1.2 for Navbahor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nasaf 36%, draw 25%, Navbahor 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.79, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nasaf 1–1 Navbahor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nasaf36%fair 2.79 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.90
Navbahor40%fair 2.53 · @2.50
2.25Expected goals
1.09Nasaf xG
1.16Navbahor xG
56%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Nasaf 1.1 – 1.2 Navbahor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Navbahor to win✗
40%
2.53
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Navbahor / FT Navbahor✗
21%
4.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.16
–
Form
Nasaf – last 6
DLDDWL
28 Apr
@ Pakhtakor
2–2
D
23 Apr
vs Lokomotiv
2–3
L
13 Apr
vs Buxoro
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Kokand-1912
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Andijan
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Surkhon
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Navbahor – last 6
LDWWWW
29 Apr
@ Bunyodkor
1–2
L
23 Apr
vs Sogdiana
1–1
D
17 Apr
@ Lokomotiv
2–0
W
12 Apr
vs Surkhon
2–0
W
7 Apr
@ Andijan
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Mash'al
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nasaf and Navbahor.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Nasaf vs Navbahor?
On our numbers Nasaf have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Navbahor 40%.
How many goals will there be in Nasaf vs Navbahor?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nasaf vs Navbahor?
Our predicted score is Nasaf 1–1 Navbahor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Nasaf vs Navbahor?
Nasaf vs Navbahor (Super League) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Markaziy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
