Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLokomotiv to win ✓65% · @1.73
Double chanceLokomotiv or draw ✓88% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.39
Lokomotiv vs Qizilqum preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Lokomotiv take on Qizilqum on Monday 4 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Lokomotiv Stadium. Lokomotiv are 6th with 43 points from 27 games (in the top half), while Qizilqum sit 9th on 35 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Lokomotiv's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Olmaliq 1–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Qizilqum's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Xorazm 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Lokomotiv and 0.6 for Qizilqum. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%.
Our pre-match pick was Lokomotiv to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lokomotiv 1–0 Qizilqum. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lokomotiv65%fair 1.53 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.00
Qizilqum12%fair 8.27 · @4.75
2.45Expected goals
1.81Lokomotiv xG
0.64Qizilqum xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–09%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv 1.8 – 0.6 Qizilqum expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv to win✓
65%
1.53
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Lokomotiv or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Lokomotiv ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv / FT Lokomotiv✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.39
–
Form
Lokomotiv – last 6
LWLWDL
27 Apr
@ Olmaliq
1–2
L
23 Apr
@ Nasaf
3–2
W
17 Apr
vs Navbahor
0–2
L
12 Apr
@ Dinamo Samarqand
2–1
W
7 Apr
vs Xorazm
1–1
D
2 Apr
@ Bunyodkor
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Qizilqum – last 6
DWWLLL
29 Apr
vs Xorazm
0–0
D
24 Apr
vs Kokand-1912
2–1
W
17 Apr
@ Surkhon
1–0
W
13 Apr
vs Sogdiana
1–3
L
9 Apr
@ Buxoro
0–2
L
18 Mar
vs Olmaliq
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv and Qizilqum.
Our pick is Lokomotiv to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Lokomotiv vs Qizilqum?
On our numbers Lokomotiv have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Qizilqum 12%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv vs Qizilqum?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv vs Qizilqum?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv 1–0 Qizilqum, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv vs Qizilqum?
Lokomotiv vs Qizilqum (Super League) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Lokomotiv Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
