Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNavbahor to win ✗62% · @1.62
Double chanceNavbahor or draw ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Navbahor vs Sogdiana preview and prediction
The match
Navbahor host Sogdiana in the Super League on Thursday 23 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Markaziy Stadium. Navbahor are 3rd with 55 points from 27 games (in the top four), while Sogdiana sit 12th on 30 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Navbahor's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Lokomotiv 2–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sogdiana's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Bunyodkor 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Navbahor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Navbahor and 1.0 for Sogdiana. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Navbahor to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Navbahor 2–1 Sogdiana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Navbahor62%fair 1.62 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.30
Sogdiana18%fair 5.70 · @4.80
3.06Expected goals
2.06Navbahor xG
1.00Sogdiana xG
53%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Navbahor 2.1 – 1.0 Sogdiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Navbahor to win✗
62%
1.62
1.62
Double chance
Navbahor or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Navbahor ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Navbahor / FT Navbahor✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
Navbahor – last 6
WWWWLW
17 Apr
@ Lokomotiv
2–0
W
12 Apr
vs Surkhon
2–0
W
7 Apr
@ Andijan
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Mash'al
2–1
W
18 Mar
@ Kokand-1912
1–2
L
10 Mar
@ Pakhtakor
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sogdiana – last 6
LWLDLD
19 Apr
vs Bunyodkor
2–3
L
13 Apr
@ Qizilqum
3–1
W
8 Apr
@ Dinamo Samarqand
1–2
L
2 Apr
vs Kokand-1912
2–2
D
20 Mar
vs Pakhtakor
2–4
L
12 Mar
@ Olmaliq
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Navbahor and Sogdiana.
Our pick is Navbahor to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Navbahor vs Sogdiana?
On our numbers Navbahor have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sogdiana 18%.
How many goals will there be in Navbahor vs Sogdiana?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Navbahor vs Sogdiana?
Our predicted score is Navbahor 2–1 Sogdiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Navbahor vs Sogdiana?
Navbahor vs Sogdiana (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Markaziy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
