The Super League sees Nasaf take on Lokomotiv on Thursday 23 April, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Markaziy Stadium. Nasaf are 4th with 45 points from 27 games (in the top four), while Lokomotiv sit 6th on 43 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Nasaf's last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Buxoro 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Lokomotiv's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Navbahor 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Nasaf arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Nasaf and 0.9 for Lokomotiv. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nasaf 47%, draw 24%, Lokomotiv 29%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.92, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nasaf 1–1 Lokomotiv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nasaf47%fair 2.12 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @2.80
Lokomotiv29%fair 3.44 · @3.20
2.06Expected goals
1.21Nasaf xG
0.85Lokomotiv xG
52%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Nasaf 1.2 – 0.9 Lokomotiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nasaf to win✗
47%
2.12
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nasaf / FT Nasaf✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.50
–
Form
Nasaf – last 6
DDWLDW
13 Apr
vs Buxoro
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Kokand-1912
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Andijan
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Surkhon
0–1
L
12 Mar
@ Dinamo Samarqand
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Sogdiana
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv – last 6
LWDLLD
17 Apr
vs Navbahor
0–2
L
12 Apr
@ Dinamo Samarqand
2–1
W
7 Apr
vs Xorazm
1–1
D
2 Apr
@ Bunyodkor
0–2
L
20 Mar
@ Neftchi
1–3
L
11 Mar
vs Kokand-1912
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nasaf and Lokomotiv.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Nasaf vs Lokomotiv?
On our numbers Nasaf have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lokomotiv 29%.
How many goals will there be in Nasaf vs Lokomotiv?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nasaf vs Lokomotiv?
Our predicted score is Nasaf 1–1 Lokomotiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Nasaf vs Lokomotiv?
Nasaf vs Lokomotiv (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Markaziy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
