Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗17% · fair 5.89
Pakhtakor vs Mash'al preview and prediction
The match
Pakhtakor host Mash'al in the Super League on Monday 13 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Pakhtakor Central Stadium. Pakhtakor are 2nd with 59 points from 27 games (in the top four), while Mash'al sit 16th on 5 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 54 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Pakhtakor's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Neftchi 1–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Mash'al's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Bunyodkor 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Pakhtakor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.1 for Pakhtakor and 0.5 for Mash'al. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pakhtakor 77%, draw 16%, Mash'al 7%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Pakhtakor 2–0 Mash'al. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pakhtakor77%fair 1.30 · @1.11
Draw16%fair 6.32 · @7.50
Mash'al7%fair 13.48 · @19.00
2.58Expected goals
2.12Pakhtakor xG
0.46Mash'al xG
45%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–017%
1–016%
3–012%
2–18%
0–08%
1–17%
From our goals model: Pakhtakor 2.1 – 0.5 Mash'al expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pakhtakor to win✓
77%
1.30
1.11
Double chance
Pakhtakor or draw✓
93%
1.08
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Pakhtakor ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pakhtakor / FT Pakhtakor✓
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
17%
5.89
–
Form
Pakhtakor – last 6
WWWLLW
9 Apr
@ Neftchi
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Olmaliq
3–1
W
20 Mar
@ Sogdiana
4–2
W
15 Mar
@ Neftchi
0–1
L
10 Mar
vs Navbahor
0–2
L
4 Mar
@ Kokand-1912
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mash'al – last 5
LLLLL
7 Apr
vs Bunyodkor
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Navbahor
1–2
L
19 Mar
@ Andijan
0–2
L
10 Mar
vs Qizilqum
0–2
L
5 Mar
vs Lokomotiv
0–2
L
0.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pakhtakor and Mash'al.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Pakhtakor vs Mash'al?
On our numbers Pakhtakor have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Mash'al 7%.
How many goals will there be in Pakhtakor vs Mash'al?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pakhtakor vs Mash'al?
Our predicted score is Pakhtakor 2–0 Mash'al, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Pakhtakor vs Mash'al?
Pakhtakor vs Mash'al (Super League) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Pakhtakor Central Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
