Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNasaf to win ✗61% · @1.67
Double chanceNasaf or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.90
Nasaf vs Buxoro preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Nasaf take on Buxoro on Monday 13 April, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Markaziy Stadium. Nasaf are 4th with 45 points from 27 games (in the top four), while Buxoro sit 7th on 42 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Nasaf's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Kokand-1912 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Buxoro's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Qizilqum 2–0 at home. They average 1.6 scored and 0.4 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Buxoro arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.6 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for Nasaf and 0.5 for Buxoro. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nasaf 61%, draw 23%, Buxoro 16%.
Safer route: Nasaf or draw (84%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nasaf to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Nasaf 1–0 Buxoro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nasaf61%fair 1.65 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.25
Buxoro16%fair 6.07 · @4.75
1.92Expected goals
1.39Nasaf xG
0.53Buxoro xG
47%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
0–015%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Nasaf 1.4 – 0.5 Buxoro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nasaf to win✗
61%
1.65
1.67
Double chance
Nasaf or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nasaf / FT Nasaf✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
4.90
–
Form
Nasaf – last 6
DWLDWW
8 Apr
@ Kokand-1912
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Andijan
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Surkhon
0–1
L
12 Mar
@ Dinamo Samarqand
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Sogdiana
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Xorazm
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Buxoro – last 5
WWDWW
9 Apr
vs Qizilqum
2–0
W
19 Mar
vs Dinamo Samarqand
3–1
W
11 Mar
vs Xorazm
1–1
D
5 Mar
@ Navbahor
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Kokand-1912
1–0
W
1.6Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nasaf and Buxoro.
Our pick is Nasaf to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Nasaf vs Buxoro?
On our numbers Nasaf have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Buxoro 16%.
How many goals will there be in Nasaf vs Buxoro?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nasaf vs Buxoro?
Our predicted score is Nasaf 1–0 Buxoro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Nasaf vs Buxoro?
Nasaf vs Buxoro (Super League) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Markaziy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
