Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultOlmaliq to win ✗49% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Olmaliq vs Sogdiana preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Olmaliq take on Sogdiana on Thursday 12 March, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT) at OKMK Sport Majmuasi. Olmaliq are 5th with 45 points from 27 games (in the top half), while Sogdiana sit 12th on 30 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.7 for Olmaliq and 1.2 for Sogdiana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 58%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Olmaliq 49%, draw 24%, Sogdiana 28%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Olmaliq 1–1 Sogdiana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Olmaliq49%fair 2.06 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.00
Sogdiana28%fair 3.61 · @3.25
2.83Expected goals
1.65Olmaliq xG
1.18Sogdiana xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Olmaliq 1.7 – 1.2 Sogdiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Olmaliq
Sogdiana
Attack vs Super League average
+9%
+17%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
+38%
Our expected goals here
2.02
1.43
Our own ratings from every Super League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olmaliq to win✗
49%
2.06
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olmaliq / FT Olmaliq✗
29%
3.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.28
–
Form
Olmaliq – last 2
LL
6 Mar
@ Xorazm
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Bunyodkor
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sogdiana – last 2
LL
6 Mar
vs Nasaf
0–2
L
27 Feb
@ Andijan
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olmaliq and Sogdiana.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Olmaliq vs Sogdiana?
On our numbers Olmaliq have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sogdiana 28%.
How many goals will there be in Olmaliq vs Sogdiana?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olmaliq vs Sogdiana?
Our predicted score is Olmaliq 1–1 Sogdiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Olmaliq vs Sogdiana?
Olmaliq vs Sogdiana (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at OKMK Sport Majmuasi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
