Value bet: Nasaf to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNasaf to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.45
Dinamo Samarqand vs Nasaf preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Dinamo Samarqand take on Nasaf on Thursday 12 March, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Dinamo Samarkand Stadium. Dinamo Samarqand are 8th with 37 points from 27 games (in the top half), while Nasaf sit 4th on 45 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Nasaf's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Sogdiana 2–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Dinamo Samarqand and 1.3 for Nasaf. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dinamo Samarqand 33%, draw 28%, Nasaf 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Nasaf to win at 2.80 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Dinamo Samarqand 1–1 Nasaf. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dinamo Samarqand33%fair 3.03 · @2.40
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @2.80
Nasaf39%fair 2.60 · @2.80
2.41Expected goals
1.09Dinamo Samarqand xG
1.32Nasaf xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Dinamo Samarqand 1.1 – 1.3 Nasaf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Dinamo Samarqand
Nasaf
Attack vs Super League average
+15%
+16%
Goals conceded vs average
-0%
-31%
Our expected goals here
1.08
1.45
Our own ratings from every Super League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nasaf to win✗
39%
2.60
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.40
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nasaf / FT Nasaf✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.45
–
Form
Dinamo Samarqand – last 2
WL
6 Mar
@ Bunyodkor
2–1
W
14 Feb
@ Lokomotiv
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Nasaf – last 3
WWW
6 Mar
@ Sogdiana
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Xorazm
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ Sharjah FC
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dinamo Samarqand and Nasaf.
What is the prediction for Dinamo Samarqand vs Nasaf?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Dinamo Samarqand vs Nasaf?
On our numbers Dinamo Samarqand have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Nasaf 39%.
How many goals will there be in Dinamo Samarqand vs Nasaf?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dinamo Samarqand vs Nasaf?
Our predicted score is Dinamo Samarqand 1–1 Nasaf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Dinamo Samarqand vs Nasaf?
Dinamo Samarqand vs Nasaf (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Dinamo Samarkand Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
