Virsliga · Latvia · Slokas Stadions

Super Nova

DLLLW
1–1
FT

BFC Daugavpils

WWWWD

Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils prediction & analysis

73%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultBFC Daugavpils to win ✗47% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.78

Win chances

Super Nova32%fair 3.15 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.30
BFC Daugavpils47%fair 2.11 · @2.05
2.53Expected goals
1.10Super Nova xG
1.43BFC Daugavpils xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Super Nova 1.1 – 1.4 BFC Daugavpils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

BFC Daugavpils shade it despite being away from home – 47% to win, against 32% for Super Nova.

Super Nova have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.3 per game. BFC Daugavpils have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. BFC Daugavpils come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.5 goals (1.1 for Super Nova, 1.4 for BFC Daugavpils). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%).

In their last 3 meetings, Super Nova have won 1, BFC Daugavpils have won 0 and 2 ended level, with an average of 0.3 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.37.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBFC Daugavpils to win ✗47%2.112.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.711.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.381.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.931.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.33
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT BFC Daugavpils / FT BFC Daugavpils ✗26%3.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%8.78–

Form

Super Nova – last 6

DLLLWL
1 Nov@ FK Liepaja3–3D
25 Octvs Rīgas FS0–3L
18 Oct@ Riga1–2L
15 Oct@ Rīgas FS0–4L
10 Octvs Grobiņa2–1W
20 Sep@ Ogre United0–1L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

BFC Daugavpils – last 6

WWWWDL
1 Novvs Tukums2–0W
25 Oct@ FS Jelgava1–0W
19 Octvs Auda2–1W
11 Oct@ Ogre United2–1W
19 Sep@ FK Liepaja0–0D
13 Sepvs Rīgas FS1–2L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Aug 2026Super Nova v BFC Daugavpils0–0
16 Jun 2026BFC Daugavpils v Super Nova0–0
27 Apr 2026BFC Daugavpils v Super Nova0–1

More Virsliga predictions

FT Grobiņa1 FK Liepaja2 141966 X2FK Liepaja or draw 86%@1.22 ✓ FT FS Jelgava4 Ogre United0 582418 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.53 ✗ Postponed Riga Rīgas FS 352738 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.30 FT Tukums1 Auda2 191764 2Auda to win 64%@1.42 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?

On our numbers Super Nova have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and BFC Daugavpils 47%.

How many goals will there be in Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

When is Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?

Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Slokas Stadions.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.