Virsliga · Latvia · Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs

FS Jelgava

LLLLL
4–0
FT

Ogre United

DLLLW

FS Jelgava vs Ogre United prediction & analysis

62%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.53Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultFS Jelgava to win ✓58% · @1.73
Double chanceFS Jelgava or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07

Win chances

FS Jelgava58%fair 1.72 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.75
Ogre United18%fair 5.65 · @3.80
3.10Expected goals
2.04FS Jelgava xG
1.07Ogre United xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: FS Jelgava 2.0 – 1.1 Ogre United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

FS Jelgava hold the edge on home soil with a 58% chance of winning, against 18% for Ogre United.

FS Jelgava have taken 1 points from their last 6 matches (0W 1D 5L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.2 per game. Ogre United have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.

We expect around 3.1 goals (2.0 for FS Jelgava, 1.1 for Ogre United). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%).

In their last 3 meetings, FS Jelgava have won 2, Ogre United have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.7 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is close to our fair price of 1.62.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFS Jelgava to win ✓58%1.721.73
Double chanceFS Jelgava or draw ✓82%1.221.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.651.57
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.241.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.621.53
Half-time resultFS Jelgava ahead at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT FS Jelgava / FT FS Jelgava ✓38%2.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.07–

Form

FS Jelgava – last 6

LLLLLD
1 Nov@ Auda3–4L
25 Octvs BFC Daugavpils0–1L
18 Oct@ FK Liepaja0–3L
11 Oct@ Rīgas FS2–4L
19 Sepvs Riga0–1L
12 Sep@ Grobiņa0–0D
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ogre United – last 6

DLLLWL
1 Novvs Riga0–0D
25 Octvs Auda1–4L
17 Oct@ Grobiņa2–3L
11 Octvs BFC Daugavpils1–2L
20 Sepvs Super Nova1–0W
16 Sep@ Auda0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Aug 2026Ogre United v FS Jelgava2–3
17 Jun 2026FS Jelgava v Ogre United0–2
27 Apr 2026Ogre United v FS Jelgava0–1

More Virsliga predictions

FT Grobiņa1 FK Liepaja2 141966 X2FK Liepaja or draw 86%@1.22 ✓ Postponed Riga Rīgas FS 352738 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.30 FT Super Nova1 BFC Daugavpils1 322147 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓ FT Tukums1 Auda2 191764 2Auda to win 64%@1.42 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FS Jelgava vs Ogre United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win FS Jelgava vs Ogre United?

On our numbers FS Jelgava have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ogre United 18%.

How many goals will there be in FS Jelgava vs Ogre United?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

When is FS Jelgava vs Ogre United?

FS Jelgava vs Ogre United (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.